This report analyzes the impact of recent 52-week volume of AIS AG (LUM) stock on the share prices (and gains). After reading the report, you will be in a better position to assess the future impact of volumes on prices.
Note: Volume is a measure of the total number of shares traded in the market. These are the tiny bars you will see at the bottom of the conventional price charts.
Below is a table of contents to help you navigate through the report. There are 5 sections in this analysis report.
- How AIS AG (LUM) Weekly Volumes Are Affecting Price
- Did 30 Highest Volume Days Of LUM Closed In Profits?
- How AIS AG (LUM) Monthly Volumes Are Affecting Price
- Volume Of LUM Vs Similar Stocks
- How Annual Volumes Are Affecting LUM Price
Note: Do you want to know the best performing days, months and weeks of LUM recently. We recommend you to read the 52-week highs/lows report for LUM.
1 How AIS AG (LUM) Weekly Volumes Are Affecting Price
First, let us see a graph representing the weekly prices and volumes for the recent 52 weeks between 05-02-2018 and 05-02-2019.
Note: Since prices and volumes are on different scales, we have plotted the percentage change in volumes against the percentage change in prices. In other words, each value denotes the difference (%) between the spot volume/price and the initial volume/price at the start of the graph.
Note: To understand how we created the above graph, here is a table showing sample data.
|Week||Price (Avg.) (€)||Price Change (%)||Volumes (Avg.)||Volume Change (%)|
Now we are going to see if there is a relationship between weekly average volumes of AIS AG (LUM) shares with that of the stock prices. We are going to check the "Correlation" between weekly volumes and prices.
Note: If the word correlation is new to you, here is a simple explanation. Correlation is a technique that apart from other things gives out a number called the correlation coefficient. This coefficient is a measure of how two variables (in our case price and volume) are related. The coefficient can assume values between -1 to +1. Before measuring the coefficient for LUM shares, below is a table that will guide to interpret the value.
|-1 to -0.5.||If volume decreases price increases almost always|
|-0.5 to 0||If volume decreases price increases but not always|
|0||There is no relationship between volume and price|
|0 to 0.5||If volume increases price increases but not always|
|.5 to 1||If volume increases price increases almost always|
AIS AG (LUM) Stock's Price-Volume Correlation Coefficient
We are not going show you the elaborate method of finding the correlation coefficient. (You can read about the method in math books.) Instead, we will straightaway let you know the value between the average volume and price of LUM shares.
Correlation Coefficient Between LUM weekly volumes and prices = -0.06
-0.06 indicates a week negative correlation, If volume decreases price increases but not always.
2 Did 30 Highest Volume Days Of LUM Closed In Profits?
Note: *This section uses close and not adjusted close.
High volume corresponds to a high interest over a stock. There can be multiple reasons for people showing extraordinary interest towards a share. Positive news like higher than expected earnings will most certainly increase volumes and prices. Negative news like lower than expected profits and tax hikes can again lead to an increase in volumes (but there will be more selling than buying).
Now let us check if the top 30 highest volume days of AIS AG (LUM) resulted in profits. Below table gives you the data.
|Date||Volume||Open (€)||Close (€)||(Close - Open) (€)||Profit/Loss||Gain (%)|
3 How AIS AG (LUM) Monthly Volumes Are Affecting Price
This section is similar to the third section except that now we are going to check the impact of monthly volumes. The timeframe of analysis is similar to that of the first section. We have considered recent 52 weeks of data between 05-02-2018 and 05-02-2019.
Below is the graph showing the monthly volume against monthly price. The graph shows the change (%) in volume against the change (%) in price for you to understand better.
A sample of data used to create the above graph is shown below.
|Month||Price (€)||Price Change (%)||Volumes||Volume Change (%)|
The correlation between the monthly volume and price turns out to be -0.3. Therefore we have a week negative correlation, Meaning - If volume decreases price increases but not always.
4 Volume Of LUM Vs Similar Stocks
You already know that volume is a measure of interest in a particular stock. The reason may be good or bad. The higher than average volume can drive prices up or down depending upon the amount of selling compared to buying. This section compares the interest shown by investors in LUM compared to 5 similar stocks in recent 52 weeks.
|Ticker||Stock Name||Volumes||Avg. Price (€)||Highest Price (€)||Lowest Price (€)|
|8GS||CHINA SPEC.GLASS AG||9443||0.04||0.15||0.00|
|2GB||2G ENERGY AG||260||20.80||27.10||17.60|
|AAD||AMADEUS FIRE AG||146||91.70||104.80||75.27|
As you can see in the above table, AIS AG (LUM) can be ranked secon on volume scale.
5 How Annual Volumes Are Affecting LUM Price
This section is similar to the first and third sections. The first section checked the impact of weekly volume on prices while the second section analyzed the impact of monthly volumes. Now we are going to check the impact of annual average volumes. Below is the volume-change vs price-change graph.
Below table lists a sample of data used to draw the above graph.
|Year||Price (Avg.) (€)||Price Change (%)||Volumes (Avg.)||Volume Change (%)|
The correlation coefficient between the volume and price is -0.02. This is a week negative correlation, Meaning - If volume decreases price increases but not always.
Summary of correlation coefficients of weekly, monthly and annual volumes against price.
|Volume Averaged Over||Coefficient||Meaning|
Volume is an important metric in combination with the price to assess the trend of a stock. For example, if a stock moves steadily up but is associated with feeble volumes, the movement may not be sustainable. On the other hand, if the stock is moving up while the volume is also increasing steadily, the movement will be a sustainable bullish run. Therefore volume plays a key role in assessing the sustainability of a trend.
- We strongly recommend you to go through the LUM Trend Analysis report. That report uses an interesting method involving moving averages to assess trends.
- The expectation of a stock rising is the prime reason why investors are behind it. LUM Stock Rise report will help you know whether the stock is on the rise lately.
We have validated the data to the best of our knowledge. If you find data inaccuracies kindly let us know using the contact form so that we can act promptly.