MOLOGEN AG (MGN) Stock Volume - Impact On Prices

| February 7, 2019More Stocks

This report analyzes the impact of recent 52-week volume of MOLOGEN AG (MGN) stock on the share prices (and gains). After reading the report, you will be in a better position to assess the future impact of volumes on prices.

Note: Volume is a measure of the total number of shares traded in the market. These are the tiny bars you will see at the bottom of the conventional price charts.

Below is a table of contents to help you navigate through the report. There are 5 sections in this analysis report.

  1. How MOLOGEN AG (MGN) Weekly Volumes Are Affecting Price
  2. Did 30 Highest Volume Days Of MGN Closed In Profits?
  3. How MOLOGEN AG (MGN) Monthly Volumes Are Affecting Price
  4. Volume Of MGN Vs Similar Stocks
  5. How Annual Volumes Are Affecting MGN Price

Note: Do you want to know the best performing days, months and weeks of MGN recently. We recommend you to read the 52-week highs/lows report for MGN.

1 How MOLOGEN AG (MGN) Weekly Volumes Are Affecting Price

First, let us see a graph representing the weekly prices and volumes for the recent 52 weeks between 17-07-2017 and 17-07-2018.

Note: Since prices and volumes are on different scales, we have plotted the percentage change in volumes against the percentage change in prices. In other words, each value denotes the difference (%) between the spot volume/price and the initial volume/price at the start of the graph.

MOLOGEN AG (MGN) Stcok Current Year Volumes By Weekly

Note: To understand how we created the above graph, here is a table showing sample data.

WeekPrice (Avg.) (€)Price Change (%)Volumes (Avg.)Volume Change (%)
12.50055370
52.21-11.660008
92.20-125476-1
131.68-32.836106552
170.97-61.229842439
210.91-63.624007334
250.89-64.4816247
293.65463441-38
332.42-3.238026587
372.44-2.4802245
412.9819.218246230
452.7710.8974876
492.40-412762130

Now we are going to see if there is a relationship between weekly average volumes of MOLOGEN AG (MGN) shares with that of the stock prices. We are going to check the "Correlation" between weekly volumes and prices.

Note: If the word correlation is new to you, here is a simple explanation. Correlation is a technique that apart from other things gives out a number called the correlation coefficient. This coefficient is a measure of how two variables (in our case price and volume) are related. The coefficient can assume values between -1 to +1. Before measuring the coefficient for MGN shares, below is a table that will guide to interpret the value.

Value Interpretation
-1 to -0.5. If volume decreases price increases almost always
-0.5 to 0 If volume decreases price increases but not always
0 There is no relationship between volume and price
0 to 0.5 If volume increases price increases but not always
.5 to 1 If volume increases price increases almost always

MOLOGEN AG (MGN) Stock's Price-Volume Correlation Coefficient

We are not going show you the elaborate method of finding the correlation coefficient. (You can read about the method in math books.) Instead, we will straightaway let you know the value between the average volume and price of MGN shares.

Correlation Coefficient Between MGN weekly volumes and prices = 0.01

Interpretation:

0.01 indicates a week positive correlation, if volume increases price increases but not always.

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2 Did 30 Highest Volume Days Of MGN Closed In Profits?

Note: *This section uses close and not adjusted close.

High volume corresponds to a high interest over a stock. There can be multiple reasons for people showing extraordinary interest towards a share. Positive news like higher than expected earnings will most certainly increase volumes and prices. Negative news like lower than expected profits and tax hikes can again lead to an increase in volumes (but there will be more selling than buying).

Now let us check if the top 30 highest volume days of MOLOGEN AG (MGN) resulted in profits. Below table gives you the data.

DateVolumeOpen (€)Close (€)(Close - Open) (€)Profit/LossGain (%)
2018-02-131638592.1442.59170.45Profit20.88
2018-04-271441821.070.927-0.14Loss-13.36
2017-08-281438273.18372.7957-0.39Loss-12.19
2017-08-251244752.03361.8605-0.17Loss-8.51
2017-09-251244483.13493.0842-0.05Loss-1.62
2018-04-261096141.4421.08-0.36Loss-25.10
2017-09-22926732.40472.98470.58Profit24.12
2017-08-23924212.04152.1480.11Profit5.22
2018-04-05806301.6121.7960.18Profit11.41
2017-10-04781523.1233.0643-0.06Loss-1.88
2018-05-30670400.890.9320.04Profit4.72
2017-08-18645662.09332.31710.22Profit10.69
2017-08-09612643.07333.08320.01Profit0.32
2017-10-02590973.08223.0772-0.01Loss-0.16
2017-08-08589563.76372.8852-0.88Loss-23.34
2017-08-17540312.44652.0933-0.35Loss-14.44
2018-05-07475301.0381.03-0.01Loss-0.77
2017-10-24434252.85243.13490.28Profit9.90
2017-08-21423212.28532.1629-0.12Loss-5.36
2018-06-20404460.8950.9110.02Profit1.79
2017-08-11400733.00062.8355-0.17Loss-5.50
2017-09-04389052.55592.4972-0.06Loss-2.30
2017-10-09379393.05243.0295-0.02Loss-0.75
2017-09-01368312.36492.58480.22Profit9.30
2018-01-29364362.51712.4873-0.03Loss-1.18
2017-08-16338622.5382.4186-0.12Loss-4.70
2018-05-04319540.9580.990.03Profit3.34
2018-06-19318300.8950.8950.00Profit0.00
2017-10-25317423.18372.9539-0.23Loss-7.22
2017-11-01316792.85242.8454-0.01Loss-0.25

3 How MOLOGEN AG (MGN) Monthly Volumes Are Affecting Price

This section is similar to the third section except that now we are going to check the impact of monthly volumes. The timeframe of analysis is similar to that of the first section. We have considered recent 52 weeks of data between 17-07-2017 and 17-07-2018.

Below is the graph showing the monthly volume against monthly price. The graph shows the change (%) in volume against the change (%) in price for you to understand better.

10 Months Price, Volumes Chart -

A sample of data used to create the above graph is shown below.

MonthPrice (€)Price Change (%)VolumesVolume Change (%)
2018-70.87072080
2018-60.914.61249373
2018-50.948.0520619186
2018-41.5477.0127668284
2018-32.07137.93814113
2018-22.28162.0714826106
2018-12.45181.61844517
2017-122.32166.67825715
2017-112.65204.673081
2017-102.97241.3821737202
2017-92.62201.1524253236
2017-82.76217.2439604449
2017-73.60313.795229-27

The correlation between the monthly volume and price turns out to be 0.03. Therefore we have a week positive correlation, Meaning - If volume increases price increases but not always.

4 Volume Of MGN Vs Similar Stocks

You already know that volume is a measure of interest in a particular stock. The reason may be good or bad. The higher than average volume can drive prices up or down depending upon the amount of selling compared to buying. This section compares the interest shown by investors in MGN compared to 5 similar stocks in recent 52 weeks.

TickerStock NameVolumesAvg. Price (€)Highest Price (€)Lowest Price (€)
AGXAGENNIX AG I.A.290580.050.160.02
MGNMOLOGEN AG 1595223.920.85
B8FBIOFRONTERA AG70865.057.222.93
AAQAAP IMPLANTATE AG35871.652.170.93
BBZABB BIOTECH NAM. SF 1172458.0765.9749.30
AFXCARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG64457.6881.9540.99

As you can see in the above table, MOLOGEN AG (MGN) can be ranked secon on volume scale.

5 How Annual Volumes Are Affecting MGN Price

This section is similar to the first and third sections. The first section checked the impact of weekly volume on prices while the second section analyzed the impact of monthly volumes. Now we are going to check the impact of annual average volumes. Below is the volume-change vs price-change graph.

10 Year Volumes Chart -

Below table lists a sample of data used to draw the above graph.

YearPrice (Avg.) (€)Price Change (%)Volumes (Avg.)Volume Change (%)
200024.650104860
200113.29-46.096025-43
20023.98-83.854309-59
20031.38-94.43718-65
20041.42-94.2426763155
20053.85-84.3854637421
20065.94-75.932462210
20075.44-77.937423-29
20084.67-81.053567-66
20093.81-84.541447-86
20106.32-74.361606-85
20115.53-77.571683-84
20128.11-67.11732-83
201311.15-54.771638-84
20148.23-66.613202-69
20154.36-82.314567-56
20162.47-89.981652758
20172.99-87.8726255150
20181.61-93.471323926

The correlation coefficient between the volume and price is -0.2. This is a week negative correlation, Meaning - If volume decreases price increases but not always.

Summary of correlation coefficients of weekly, monthly and annual volumes against price.

Volume Averaged OverCoefficientMeaning
Weekly0.01week positive
Monthly0.03week positive
Yearly-0.2week negative

Conclusion :

Volume is an important metric in combination with the price to assess the trend of a stock. For example, if a stock moves steadily up but is associated with feeble volumes, the movement may not be sustainable. On the other hand, if the stock is moving up while the volume is also increasing steadily, the movement will be a sustainable bullish run. Therefore volume plays a key role in assessing the sustainability of a trend.

Recommended Reading:

  1. We strongly recommend you to go through the MGN Trend Analysis report. That report uses an interesting method involving moving averages to assess trends.
  2. The expectation of a stock rising is the prime reason why investors are behind it. MGN Stock Rise report will help you know whether the stock is on the rise lately.

Disclaimer:

We have validated the data to the best of our knowledge. If you find data inaccuracies kindly let us know using the contact form so that we can act promptly.

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